Thursday, May 13, 2010

Toastmasters & the Church

In January of this year I made two commitments to myself: I would join a Thursday morning Toastmasters group, and I would join a Sunday morning church service.

My first morning at Toastmasters a gentleman with a broad smile walked directly toward me, recognized me as a guest, shook my hand, and warmly welcomed me. He then took me into the room and elegantly introduced me to others who would soon become my friends. I was addressed by name and treated as an honoured guest. That first day, I was treated to a hot breakfast, offered an opportunity to speak, and at the end of the meeting the group genuinely wanted to hear how I felt about being in their presence.

Within only a few short weeks I’ve been invited to lunch with one of my new friends, and coffee with others. Another called Easter Sunday to invite me to join him for dinner. The Toastmasters organization actively explores and builds on the individual gifting of each new member. I even have a mentor to help me grow. At each meeting I’m encouraged (and delighted) to serve the group, and I’m learning how to love others.

This morning at Toastmasters I had the distinct privilege of delivering a short message entitled: I Met Jesus in Kitgum.

I’ve been following Jesus for over twenty years. I have served on staff at a large local church and have a Masters degree in Christian Studies. I know that the Church truly is the body of Christ. I love the stated vision of the little congregation that meets on Sunday mornings in my new neighbourhood, and to their credit, they do have great coffee, but like all who are created in the image of God, I long to be valued, to belong, and to contribute.

As I wait in hope for the church, I praise God that his Spirit is welcome at Toastmasters!

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Never Be Afraid To Ask

Several years ago, I was sitting on the front row in an Executive MBA classroom. Maryann, a few rows back, was explaining a concept related to the application of technology in her work as a Business Systems Consultant.

As Maryann spoke I recognized repetition of a certain TLA.[1] In fact she used this TLA so frequently that I began to suspect that it might be integral to what she was explaining. The problem was: I had no idea what those three letters stood for!

Being no match for Maryann’s technological expertise, I naturally did what you might do. I quietly leaned to the woman on my left and asked: “What does ‘TLA’ stand for?” She shrugged and whispered: “I don’t know.” I then shifted to my right and asked the same question of the man sitting there. Same response.

Next I did something that took great courage, and defies all human logic: I raised my hand and asked the question. Maryann graciously obliged, and much to my surprise, nearly seventy percent of the classroom simultaneously expressed appreciation for their newfound knowledge. And I thought I was the only one who didn’t understand!

Here I was, sitting in a room full of brilliant people, and no one dared to ask! Why is it that we sometimes risk ignorance in order to maintain appearances?

I have, of course, since learned that the best and brightest people we encounter in life are never afraid to ask for clarification when they don’t understand something. Hmm, I guess maybe that’s how they came to be the best and brightest among us!



[1] A ‘TLA’ is a three letter acronym for ‘Three Letter Acronym’. I credit my friend Steve Outhouse for sharing this clever tidbit with me. I use it here generically, for demonstration purposes.

Monday, March 8, 2010

A Basic Residential Real Estate Investment Model

Executive Summary:

Our objective is to purchase and retain break-even or positive cash-flow residential revenue property in fundamentally strong markets – property acquired at or below market value, with expectation of a minimum 5-8 year hold. Strategic improvement and superior property management help to attract and retain desirable tenants.

Revenue producing real estate investment benefits from the prudent use of leverage secured against hard assets to achieve: income from cash-flow; reduction of mortgage balance; equity growth through appreciation; a hedge against inflation; and favourable (capital gains) tax treatment.

There is risk associated with all investment activity. One deterrent to would-be real estate investors is fear of having insufficient information, knowledge, and experience to find, acquire, and control consistently performing assets in fundamentally strong areas. There is significant difference between emotional speculation and a reasoned approach to investing. Seasoned investors learn to identify, mitigate, and manage risk.

Why Edmonton?

Looking to the future, resource-rich Alberta, and specifically working-class Edmonton, presents one of the most promising investment opportunities in the world. Here are a few reasons why:

  • Average income (percentage and net dollar value) is increasing faster than provincial/national averages
  • Population is growing faster than provincial/national averages
  • Job creation exceeds provincial/national averages
  • The city has a diversity of major employers
  • At 25.9% debt service to income, standard townhouses are well within the RBC Affordability Index’s ‘hot zone’
  • Edmonton is expected to benefit from an economic real estate ripple effect due to major investment in Alberta oil sands
  • Political leadership has created an atmosphere of economic growth
  • The Economic Development Office is progressive and helpful
  • Infrastructure is being built to handle expected growth
  • The area is attractive to baby boomers’ lifestyle
  • There is a short-term problem likely to disappear in the future: many large-scale energy infrastructure projects are temporarily on hold
  • Labour and materials costs are rising, driving up cost of new homes and consequently dragging along value of re-sales

Why Me?

I have been involved in the real estate industry for nearly 30 years, as an investor, agent, educator, or consultant. I have assembled an exceptional team of real estate experts to handle all aspects of each transaction. As a Real Estate Investment Network member, I have timely access to research and updates on real estate markets.

Why this property?

This property is a well-situated 2 story townhouse with front and rear yards, adjacent parking, 3 bedrooms, 1½ bathroom, 5 appliances, and in excellent condition. The complex has good management and this unit has a tenant already in place.

The calculations below assume purchase at market price and variable rate mortgage. This property is one of three to be purchased as a package.

Projections:

Purchase price

$205,000

Appraised value

?

Down-payment & cash to close (includes 1 month staying fund)

$44,500

First mortgage (new financing at 2.25% variable)

$164,000

Second mortgage (VTB)

$0

Year 1 annual cash-flow

$3,575

Year 1 mortgage reduction

$3,116

Year 1 profit

$6,691

Year 1 Cash-on-Cash return

8.03%

Year 1 Return on Investment (assuming 0% appreciation)

15.04%

Estimated 5-year value (5% growth/year)

$261,600

Estimated 5-year mortgage balance

$147,692

Estimated 5-year profit (Estimated 5-year Value + cash-flow – Mortgage Balance – Down-payment)

$87,283

Estimated 5-year Return on Investment

196%

Joint Venture Partner:

Joint Venture Capital Partners are invited to participate in these projects as outlined on the accompanying Classic JV Worksheet. As Managing Partner, I find, negotiate, and administer the investment from beginning to end. The Capital Partner supplies the initial capital and credit, is fully secured on title and, upon disposition, receives return of all funds invested prior to participation in 50% of all net profits.

Using the projections above, expected net gain is calculated as follows:


Estimated 5-year profit

$87,283

50% of estimated 5-year profit

$43,641

Divide by down payment & cash to close

$45,425

Estimated 5-year return on investment

98.0%

Some other things you may not know:

· There are no Land Transfer Taxes in Alberta

· There are no Rent Controls in Alberta

· All mortgages in Alberta are non-recourse

· In Alberta, all Condominium Corporations must commission an engineering firm to provide a Reserve Fund Study every 5 years

· Over the past 50 years, average residential real estate in Canada has appreciated by a compounded 6.4% annually (Alberta is expected to lead future growth)

· Vacancy rates in Edmonton Q4 2009 were 4%; CMHC projects 3.5% by Q4 2010

· Alberta is currently one of the few balanced markets in Canada

· Alberta has the second largest oil reserves in the world (after Saudi Arabia) – and arguably the most secure!

Friday, February 12, 2010

Future Brands in Real Estate Sales Organizations

INTRODUCTION

The business of branding in real estate sales organizations is changing. In a previous paper entitled “The Future of Franchising in Residential Real Estate Sales” I wrote that it would be naïve to assume business will continue as usual. Relentless competition, advancing technology, a faltering business model, unfavorable industry trends, and demographic market forces all pose a threat to continued profitability. So, if this is true, where do we go from here?

Al Ries and Jack Trout are probably the world’s best-known marketing strategists. Although their simple book, The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing,[1] was written thirteen years ago, it contains valuable information for understanding the coming shake-out in residential real estate brands. Unfortunately, most marketers fail to accept that there even are laws of marketing. Concepts that win awards rarely drive the success of a business; a strategic and well-executed plan that respects the laws of marketing does.

The balance of this paper is essentially a speed review of Ries and Trout, with illustration to our present situation where applicable. It closes in a brief description of three branding opportunities suggested by the lessons learned.

SPEED REVIEW

The Law of Leadership: “It’s better to be first than it is to be better.”[2] The basic issue in marketing is creating a category you can be first in. It is better to be first than it is to be better. Charles Lindbergh was the first to fly the Atlantic Ocean solo. Bert Hinkler was second; but although he did it faster and more efficiently, no one remembers him. Century 21 enjoys international leadership because it was the first to successfully introduce the franchise concept to organized real estate.

The Law of the Category: “If you can’t be first in a category, set up a new category you can be first in.” The third to make a solo flight across the Atlantic was Amelia Earheart. We remember her name because she was the first woman. Re/Max achieved market awareness by being first to exalt the individual salesperson.

The Law of the Mind: “It’s better to be first in the mind than to be first in the marketplace.” It is very difficult to change a mind once it is made up. Capturing mind-share – early on – should be the primary goal of the marketer.

The Law of Perception: “Marketing is not a battle of products, it’s a battle of perceptions.” Most people have a sense of personal infallibility; they believe they are better perceivers than others. Many marketers make the mistake of focusing on facts because they believe in objective reality. But the ‘everybody knows’ principle means perception may be more important than reality.

The Law of Focus: “The most powerful concept in marketing is owning a word in the prospect’s mind.” You burn your way into the mind by narrowing focus to a single word or concept. The most effective are simple, and benefit-oriented: ‘The Neighborhood Professionals’; ‘Above the Crowd’.[3] Focusing on a single concept takes courage; it is the ultimate marketing sacrifice.

The Law of Exclusivity: “Two companies cannot own the same word in the prospect’s mind.” When a competitor owns a word or a position in the prospect’s mind, it is futile to attempt to own the same word.

The Law of the Ladder: “The strategy to use depends on which rung you occupy on the ladder.” The mind is selective. Prospects use imaginary ladders to decide which information to accept or reject. In general, a mind accepts only new data consistent with its product ladder in that category. Everything else is ignored. There is a relationship between market-share and your position on the ladder in the prospect’s mind. You tend to have twice the market share of the brand below you and half the market share of the brand above you. This means three leading brands is not a battle of equals. Seven seems to be the maximum number of rungs on a ladder, and there are fewer rungs on infrequently used products or services – like real estate sales. There are specific strategies to use for No. 2 and No. 3 brands; for those lower on the rung, the best strategy is to switch to a different ladder by creating a new category.

The Law of Duality: “In the long run, every market becomes a two-horse race.” A new category is a ladder of many rungs. Gradually, the ladder becomes a two-rung affair. And time frames vary: fast-moving markets play out in two or three seasons; slower moving ones (like real estate sales) may take two or three decades. Early on No. 3 or No. 4 may look attractive. However, knowing that marketing is a two-horse race in the long run can help you plan strategy in the short run. As time goes on, customers get educated and want the leading brand, based on the naïve assumption that the leading brand must be better.

The Law of the Opposite: “If you’re shooting for second place, your strategy is determined by the leader.” Wherever the leader is strong, there is an opportunity for a would-be No. 2 to turn the tables. Discover the essence of the leader and present the prospect with the exact opposite – upstart versus old reliable. There are two kinds of people: those who want to buy from the leader and those who don’t. Too frequently, potential No. 2 brands try to emulate the leader; the first brand to capture a concept is often able to portray competitors as illegitimate pretenders.

The Law of Division: “Over time, a category will divide and become two or more categories.” Categories are dividing, not combining: ‘full-service’ real estate companies won’t happen. What prevents leaders from launching a different brand to cover a new category is the fear of what will happen to their existing brands. Honda did not make this mistake when they introduced their premium brand, Acura. While timing is important – you can be too early to exploit a new category – it is better to be too early than too late. In order to get into the prospect’s mind first, you must be prepared to spend time waiting for things to develop.

The Law of Perspective: “Marketing effects take place over an extended period of time.” Long-term effects are often the exact opposite of short-term effects: ‘sales’ don’t work in the long run; and line extensions, like specialty markets, dilute the brand.

The Law of Line Extension: “There’s an irresistible pressure to extend the equity of the brand.” Line extension is taking the brand name of a successful product or service and putting it on a new one you plan to introduce. One day a company is tightly focused on a single product that is highly profitable, the next it is thinly spread over many products and losing money. Why does top management believe that line extension works in spite of overwhelming evidence to the contrary? One reason is that, while line extension is a loser in the long term, it can be a winner in the short term. Further, management is frequently blinded by an intense loyalty to the company or brand. Line extension is imagined to be the easy way out. Launching a new brand requires capital, in addition to an idea or concept.

The Law of Sacrifice: “You have to give something up in order to get something.” This is the opposite of extension. There are three things that can be sacrificed: product line, target market, and constant change. There is no truth to the theory that the more you have to sell, the more you will. Generalists are weak; specialists are strong. There is no need to cater to everybody? Coke and Pepsi coexist by appealing to different segments of the market. There is no need to change your strategy every year at budget time. It is often better to stick with what works and sacrifice the rest.

The Law of Attributes: “For every attribute, there is an opposite, effective attribute.” Don’t emulate the leader – it is much better to find an opposite attribute. The key word is oppositesimilar won’t do. If you do not have your own attribute, you’d better have a low price – a very low price. Sometimes it will be necessary to choose a lesser attribute.

The Law of Candor: “When you admit a negative, the prospect will give you a positive.” Positive statements must be proven to the prospect’s satisfaction. No such proof is needed for negative statements. Marketing is often a search for the obvious. Admitting a problem opens minds. This, however, must be used carefully and with great skill. The negative must be widely perceived as a negative, triggering instant agreement; otherwise it will create confusion. You must then shift quickly to a positive.

The Law of Singularity: “In each situation, only one move will produce substantial results.” Marketing is not the sum total of many small efforts beautifully executed. History teaches that the only thing that works is the single, bold stroke. Think about military strategy. Most often there is only one place where a competitor is vulnerable, and that place should be the focus of the entire invading force. This may mean exploiting the unexpected. To find what will work, you must know the market.

The Law of Unpredictability: “Unless you write your competitors’ plans, you can’t predict the future.” Although you can’t predict the future, you can get a handle on trends; the danger comes in extrapolating how far a trend will go, or assuming the future will be a replay of the present. Research measures only the past, new ideas or concepts are almost impossible to measure. Build in flexibility. There is a difference between predicting the future, and taking a chance on the future.

The Law of Success: “Success often leads to arrogance, and arrogance to failure.” Small companies are mentally closer to the front than big companies.

The Law of Failure: “Failure is to be expected and accepted.” Too many companies try to fix things rather than drop things. Tom Peters coined the phrase: ready, fire, aim. Take risks: It’s hard to be first in a new category without sticking your neck out. When the senior executive has a high salary and a short time to retirement, a bold move is highly unlikely.

The Law of Hype: “The situation is often the opposite of the way it appears to the press.” When things are going well, a company doesn’t need the hype. When you need hype, it usually means you’re in trouble. History is full of marketing failures that were successful in the press. No one can predict the future. Forget the front page. If you’re looking for clues to the future, look in the back of the paper for those innocuous little stories. Real revolutions arrive unannounced in the middle of the night and kind of sneak up on you.

The Law of Acceleration: “Successful programs are not built on fads, they’re built on trends.” A fad is a wave in the ocean; a trend is the tide. A fad gets lots of hype; a trend gets very little. Fads are very visible; trends are almost invisible but very powerful. The best thing to do with a fad is dampen it, stretch it out and make it more like a trend. One way to maintain long-term demand is to never totally satisfy it.

The Law of Resources: “Without adequate funding an idea won’t get off the ground.” Very few ideas are ever accepted by large companies. The best bet is to find a smaller company and persuade it of the merits of your idea. Investments in new ideas should be front-loaded (i.e. take no profit in the first 2-3 years, plowing all earnings back into marketing).

LESSONS LEARNED

These laws point to a variety of possibilities for real estate brands. This section will briefly describe three: fee-for-service, premium branding, and local experts. The first two involve creation of a new category in a related market, and the third requires reclamation of an formerly well-established niche.

Fee-for-Service: Trends really do sneak up on us. If the plethora of ‘for-sale-by-owner brand’ upstarts ever get their act together, or combine and conquer, we will almost certainly see the first legitimate fee-for-service real estate brand. This is effectively the creation of a new category, and will gain market share most effectively if they position themselves as a fully licensed financial service rather than going head-to-head with the established real estate brands. By focusing exclusively on the opposite of the traditional notion of real estate brokerage, an à la carte real estate brand could align itself with the likes of lawyers, accountants, consultants and financial planners, posing a significant threat to the status-quo.

Premium Branding: There is presently no nationally recognized brand targeting high-end homes. Most of the current competitors have a brand extension that attempts to capture this market (e.g. Fine Homes and Estates), however, none carry the sway of a fully dedicated brand. Significantly, according to a recent survey of commission rates garnered on average and high-end homes, the latter seems to be the only segment of the market that continues to sustain ‘full-fee’ premium real estate services. Although this amounts to a niche market, it may prove to be a highly profitable one.

Local Experts: Century 21 once owned the term: Neighborhood Professionals. “Archrival Century 21 had a new commercial in which they were using children in a neighborhood setting. Damn, they were good. Everyone could see how powerfully that message came through. The company’s ‘neighborhood professional’ image was having a big impact. That’s what real estate was all about – kids; neighborhoods; families; and your friendly, helpful, always-there-when-you-need-him professional real estate representative.”[4] Re/Max knew they had to come up with an idea for a message that would become a household brand – a word, a slogan, or a feeling. And, whether intentionally or by accident, they came up with an exact opposite strategy: real estate is about the individual sales person. Most large real estate organizations have since followed suit, abandoning the neighborhood team approach to brokerage.

Today, an astute real estate franchise organization could likely claim a niche in Canada through a bold approach of targeting young, ambitious, well-qualified, media-savvy, team-builders and self-promoters. This would necessitate recruiting directly from universities and local colleges. This is where the top financial organizations go to recruit the very best – those who will command six-figure salaries – not unlike the income available to skilled real estate operators. The necessity of age and experience in this business is a myth propagated by a mature and forgetful industry.

There may well be room for highly-educated, well-informed local teams in the industry. Sell turnkey franchises on campus to business-oriented graduates who already know about studying and paying for credentials. In order to qualify as a franchisee in a clearly defined territory (neighborhood), they must demonstrate leadership by attracting a team according to specific criteria outlined in their franchise agreement. The franchisor must provide complete education, including: cutting-edge prospecting and promotion through technology; the most sophisticated information available on managing teams; and media training. Once established, everything the franchisor does focuses on promoting and propagating the image of a neighborhood professional – which means making the franchisee a credible local expert and celebrity because of his or her relationship with the brand. The franchisor and franchisee must also acknowledge in advance that protégés will inevitably want to break off and develop markets of their own. In order to facilitate this, there should be clearly defined markets, as well as incentive for the development and release of team members, which would lead to system growth.

Considering these and other approaches in light of the 22 immutable laws described by Ries and Trout, there is indeed opportunity ahead.



[1] Al Ries and Jack Trout, The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing: Violate Them at Your Own Risk (New York, NY: HarperBusiness, 1993). This review is based largely on this work; page numbers and some quotations have been removed for readability as this article is not intended for publication.

[2] In a later work, this principle is referred to as “the survival of the firstest.” – Al & Laura Ries, The Origin of Brands: Discover the Natural Laws of Product Innovation and Business Survival (New York, NY: HarperBusiness, 2004).

[3] When you develop your word or concept, be prepared to fend off the lawyers: they want to trademark everything. The trick is to get others to use your word: to be a leader you must have followers.

[4] Phil Harkins and Keith Hollihan, Everybody Wins: The Story and Lessons Behind RE/MAX (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2005) 87.

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Three Things People Love or Hate About...

“What do you love or hate about a visit to your dentist?”

That’s a question I often asked when developing dental centres. While informal surveys may seem simplistic, they can provide profound insight that goes right to the core of your business model.

It doesn't take long before you are able to discern three key things that people love – or conversely, hate – about your industry and your competitors. Deliberately design and differentiate your business around Disney-like delivery of the ‘love’ factors, purposefully eliminate the ‘hate’ factors, and you may just be on to something!

In dentistry, we discovered that people love to be seen on time, and hate to be kept waiting. They love to be remembered as a person, and hate to be treated as a number. And, they hate paying the bill – especially when it seems so expensive, but appreciate choices that are clearly communicated.

We found these three things so consistently true that the concepts became imbedded in our culture. Treating people in a timely and caring manner, and using plain language to communicate cost-effective services showed up in our values, daily activities, peer reviews and evaluations, bonuses, on comment cards, and was celebrated at staff meetings.

We built an extraordinarily successful business around the answers to one simple question.

So, what three things do people love or hate about your business?

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Making Sense of Haiti

It’s not easy to explain with authority or convincing clarity why God might allow bad things to happen to good people. Accepting that the mysteries of divine wisdom are difficult to discern is what forms the foundation of faith. Yet in the aftermath of the Haitian disaster we see tangible evidence of answered prayer.

Jesus taught us to pray: “… ‘Our Father in heaven, hallowed be your name, 10 your kingdom come, your will be done…’ ” [1] What is his will? When asked which commandment is greatest, “37 Jesus replied: “ ‘Love the Lord your God with all your heart and with all your soul and with all your mind.’a 38 This is the first and greatest commandment. 39 And the second is like it: ‘Love your neighbor as yourself.’b…” ” [2]

The world has rallied around the Haitian cause. In the midst of suffering, God turns the hearts, souls, and minds of the world to love of neighbour. This is people doing what people were created to do.

Many have felt compelled to pray not only for victims and survivors, but especially for rescue and relief workers, and the people who support them through small sacrifices of their own. May God’s Spirit be with them!



[1] The Holy Bible : New International Version. electronic ed. Grand Rapids : Zondervan, 1996, c1984, S. Mt 6:9-10

a Deut. 6:5

b Lev. 19:18

[2] The Holy Bible : New International Version. electronic ed. Grand Rapids : Zondervan, 1996, c1984, S. Mt 22:37-40

Friday, January 22, 2010

When a Benefit Ceases Being a Benefit

Yesterday, I received a call from a good friend and former co-worker. Cheryl (not her real name) has a naturally giving spirit, and has earned a reputation for going beyond the call of duty in order to serve her clients, coworkers, and company.

The topic of our conversation concerned her frustration with a present employer’s take on what she believed to be a straightforward policy with respect to an employee benefit. The issue was admittedly minor, but justifiably frustrating all the same.

Cheryl has a knack for finding good deals – both at work and home. The benefit in question concerned employee reimbursement for supplies used in the workplace. The reimbursement amount had a set limit which, to date, all employees had used to the maximum. When Cheryl discovered a way to purchase double the supplies for the same price, she found her benefit cut in half, and felt she was being penalized for being frugal.

Proverbs 18:17 reads: “The first to present his case seems right, till another comes forward and questions him.” It’s easy to see Cheryl’s point: she found a way to create greater value for her employer, and her employer illogically rejected her effort. As a result of Cheryl’s effort however, the employer had now discovered a way to reduce the overall cost of the originally intended reimbursement.

The question is not, and never is, about who is right and who is wrong. Most employee benefits are originally established with good intentions and with the hope of attracting and retaining good employees. Happy and conscientious employees help to create a pleasant and profitable workplace.

Now here’s the point: When an employee benefit becomes a contentious issue, it ceases to be an employee benefit. Many readers would be surprised to discover that the amount at issue in this story was only twenty-five dollars.

Turning benefits into barriers is surprisingly common. Employers can guard against inadvertently alienating employees by following these guidelines:

  1. Before introduction of any new benefit, carefully consider what you are hoping to achieve.
  2. Clearly communicate the purpose and parameters of all employee benefits – in writing!
  3. Always remember why you established the benefit in the first place, and be prepared to alter it in favour of your employees when you discover that perception has changed.
  4. Quietly congratulate yourself for elegantly adapting to change, and continuing to lead a happy and productive team.